Global Cooling

HOW THE WORLD SEES AMERICA

"The opinion of the world is important to the security of our nation."
— Benjamin Franklin

Pew Research • Gallup • Ipsos • 33 Countries Tracked

49%
Global Median Favorability (2025)
25%
Confidence in Trump (Global Median)
−10 pts
Drop from Biden Era
15 of 24
Countries with Declining View
Breaking — March 17, 2026

Trump Threatens to Leave NATO After Every Ally Refuses to Join Iran War

UK, Germany, Italy, Spain, Australia, Greece, and China refused to send warships to Hormuz. Japan, South Korea, and France still “reviewing.” EU foreign policy chief Kallas: “No appetite. Nobody wants to go actively in this war.”

“It’s certainly something that we should think about. I don’t need Congress for that decision.” — Trump, on leaving NATO

Sources: Euronews, Time, NPR, CNBC, Al Jazeera • Mar 18, 2026

You're seeing the full analysis. Switch to "At a Glance" for a quick overview.

Global Favorability Map

Click any country to explore its sentiment arc from Obama through Trump 2.0, plus trade and diplomatic impacts.

Favorability:
<25%
25-39%
40-54%
55-69%
70%+
AMERICAS
EUROPE
AFRICA
ASIA
OCEANIA
MIDDLE EAST

Regional Snapshot

🇪🇺 Europe

~36%
↓ Down ~18 pts from Biden era
Greenland tariffs, NATO tensions, Iran coalition refusals, and trade wars have pushed traditional allies to their lowest favorability since polling began. Sweden at 19% is the most dramatic case. Trump mused about leaving NATO after allies refused to send warships to Hormuz.

🌎 Americas

~38%
↓ Down ~20 pts from Biden era
Canada and Mexico, America's two largest trading partners, suffered the most from tariffs and "51st state" rhetoric. Brazil remains an outlier at 70%.

🌏 Asia-Pacific

~56%
↓ Down ~8 pts from Biden era
Japan and South Korea remain relatively favorable, but India saw rapid downgrade. Trade tariffs on Southeast Asia reached extreme levels (up to 3,521%).

🌍 Middle East & Africa

~48%
Mixed — varies widely
Israel (83%) and Nigeria (78%) are the brightest spots. Kenya holds steady. Saudi Arabia and Tunisia remain low. Wide variation reflects divergent US policies in the region.

Key Findings

📉

Allies Hit Hardest

America's closest allies saw the steepest declines. Sweden dropped 28 points, Mexico 32 points, and Canada 20 points in a single year — driven by tariffs, annexation rhetoric, and Greenland threats.

🔄

The Familiar Arc

Global opinion follows a clear pattern: high under Obama, sharp decline under Trump 1.0, Biden recovery, then Trump 2.0 collapse. Many countries are now at or below their Trump 1.0 lows.

📊

Only 3 Countries Improved

Of 24 countries surveyed by Pew, only Turkey (+7), Nigeria (+6), and Israel (+6) showed increased favorability in 2025. Every other country declined or held flat.

💰

Tariffs Didn't Fix the Deficit

Despite imposing the highest average tariffs since 1934 (27%), the US trade deficit barely budged: $901.5B in 2025 vs. $903.5B in 2024. Trade simply shifted to other countries.

🤝

Allies Seeking Independence

Germany's chancellor prioritized "independence from the USA." Japan and South Korea are exploring a free trade agreement with China. NATO allies pledged up to 5% GDP defense spending.

💵

Dollar Weakening

The dollar (DXY index) fell 10.7% in the first half of 2025 — its worst 6-month performance in 50 years. Central banks are diversifying into gold, Canadian and Australian dollars.

Coalition of None

Trump asked 7+ countries to send warships to reopen the Strait of Hormuz during the Iran war. Zero committed. UK, Germany, Italy, Spain, Australia, Greece, and China refused outright. Japan, South Korea, and France still "reviewing." When asked if he'd leave NATO over it, Trump said: "It's certainly something that we should think about. I don't need Congress for that decision."

Sources & Methodology

Primary source: Pew Research Center Global Attitudes Survey (2015–2025). Metric: "% with favorable view of the United States." Surveys conducted January–May of each year across 24–35 countries.

Secondary sources: Gallup World Poll (US Leadership Approval), Ipsos Global Reputation Survey (2025), and Brand Finance Global Soft Power Index.

Trade data: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Tax Foundation Tariff Tracker, Yale Budget Lab, Congressional Research Service.

Diplomatic data: Council on Foreign Relations, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, European Council on Foreign Relations, published news sources (cited per country).

Where exact favorability figures were not published for a specific era, estimates are derived from regional trends and marked with (~). All commercial and diplomatic impacts cover January 2025 – March 2026.

Next investigation
🚧 Immigration
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