Link copied to clipboard!

Trump v. 1776 — Economic Record

Follow the Money

“The purse of the people is the real seat of sensibility.”
— James Madison

282 Trading Days Tracked
+12.9% S&P 500 Return
+8.9% Dow Jones Return
+15.1% NASDAQ Return
You're seeing the full analysis. Switch to "At a Glance" for a quick overview.

📈 Stock Market Performance

Track $1,000 invested in each major index on Inauguration Day.
Toggle presidents to compare equivalent timeframes.

How to read this chart: Each line shows what a $1,000 investment made on Inauguration Day would be worth over time. All three presidents are measured over the same number of trading days (282) from their respective start dates, so the comparison is apples-to-apples. Obama's dramatic gains reflect recovery from the 2008 financial crisis floor. Data sourced from Yahoo Finance daily closing prices.

⛽ Gas Prices Across America

Weekly average price per gallon of regular gasoline since Inauguration Day.
EIA tracks 9 states weekly; current prices for all 50 states from AAA.

Current Prices by State

As of March 5, 2026 • Source: AAA

Under $3.00 $3.00 – $3.50 Over $3.50
Data note: Weekly trend data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), which tracks 9 states plus the national average. Current state-by-state prices from AAA’s daily survey of 150,000+ stations. The national average on Inauguration Day was $3.23/gallon; it currently stands at $3.15/gallon, a modest 2.5% decline.

🛒 Grocery Prices

Monthly average prices for common grocery items since Inauguration Day.
Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Average Price survey.

Price Changes Since Inauguration

Jan 2025 → Jan 2026 • Overall CPI Food at Home: +2.1%

🥚
Eggs (dozen)
$2.58 /doz
-48.0%
Coffee (lb)
$9.37 /lb
+33.4%
🥩
Ground Beef (lb)
$6.75 /lb
+21.8%
🧈
Butter (lb)
$4.38 /lb
-10.8%
🍌
Bananas (lb)
$0.65 /lb
+5.2%
🍚
Rice (lb)
$1.06 /lb
+5.1%
🍗
Chicken Breast (lb)
$4.17 /lb
+4.9%
🍞
Bread (loaf)
$1.84 /loaf
-4.3%
🥛
Milk (gallon)
$4.10 /gal
+1.9%
🍬
Sugar (lb)
$1.02 /lb
+1.1%
🥓
Bacon (lb)
$6.98 /lb
-0.9%
Data note: Prices from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Average Price survey of urban consumers. October 2025 data is missing due to the government appropriations lapse. Egg prices reflect the dramatic decline after the 2024–25 avian flu spike. Coffee prices reflect a global Arabica bean shortage. The overall CPI “Food at Home” index rose +2.1% during this period.

💊 Drug & Healthcare Costs

Tracking prescription drug prices, overall medical costs, and major drug pricing policy changes since Inauguration Day.

CPI Prescription Drugs: -0.5% • Medical Care overall: +3.2% • All Items CPI: +2.4%

10 drugs negotiated under the Inflation Reduction Act — new prices took effect Jan 1, 2026.
Note: This program was established by the Biden-era IRA; the Trump administration has continued implementation.
Eliquis
Blood clot prevention
$521 $231
↓ 56%
Januvia
Type 2 diabetes
$527 $113
↓ 79%
Jardiance
Diabetes / heart / kidney
$573 $197
↓ 66%
Xarelto
Blood clot prevention
$517 $197
↓ 62%
Farxiga
Diabetes / heart / kidney
$556 $178
↓ 68%
Entresto
Heart failure
$628 $295
↓ 53%
Enbrel
Rheumatoid arthritis
$7,106 $2,355
↓ 67%
Stelara
Psoriasis / Crohn’s
$13,836 $4,695
↓ 66%
Imbruvica
Blood cancers
$14,934 $9,319
↓ 38%
NovoLog / Fiasp
Diabetes (insulin)
$495 $119
↓ 76%
Launched Feb 2026. Prices matched to lowest offered in comparable developed nations.
16 manufacturer agreements announced since Sep 2025. Select highlights below.
Ozempic
Diabetes / heart / obesity
$1,028/mo ~$350
↓ 66%
Wegovy (inj.)
Obesity
$1,349/mo as low as $199
↓ 74–85%
Zepbound
Obesity
$1,088/mo ~$346
↓ 68%
Bevespi
COPD
$458 $51
↓ 89%
Cetrotide
Fertility
$316 $22.50
↓ 93%
Eucrisa
Eczema
$792 $158
↓ 80%
Context: Two distinct programs are lowering drug costs. The IRA Medicare negotiation (passed 2022, prices effective 2026) allows Medicare to negotiate prices on high-spend drugs — 10 drugs in the first round, with 15 more coming for 2027. The Most Favored Nation executive order (2025) directs that Americans pay no more than the lowest price in comparable developed nations — 16 manufacturer deals announced so far, with drugs available via TrumpRx.gov. The CPI data shows prescription drug prices overall have been flat to slightly declining (-0.5%) since January 2025, while broader medical care costs rose +3.2%. Oct 2025 BLS data unavailable due to the government appropriations lapse.

Sources

Stock market data from Yahoo Finance historical closing prices. Indices tracked: S&P 500 (^GSPC), Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC). All values normalized to $1,000 invested on each president's first trading day in office. Trump: Jan 21, 2025 – Mar 5, 2026 | Obama: Jan 20, 2009 – Mar 3, 2010 | Biden: Jan 20, 2021 – Mar 2, 2022.

Gas price data: Weekly state & national averages from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Current state prices from AAA Gas Prices.

Grocery price data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Average Price survey (APU series). CPI Food at Home index (CUSR0000SAF11). Monthly data, Jan 2025 – Jan 2026. October 2025 data unavailable due to the 2025 lapse in appropriations.

Drug price CPI from the BLS CPI Prescription Drugs (CUUR0000SEMF01) and Medical Care (CUUR0000SAM) indices. Medicare negotiated prices from CMS. MFN pricing from TrumpRx.gov and White House fact sheet (Feb 2026).

Enjoying this? Share it so others can follow the money too.

Share Now