Wag the Dog

How Wars Are Used, Claimed, Threatened & Traded
"The first casualty when war comes is truth."
— Hiram W. Johnson, 1917
REUTERS • AP • BBC • NYT • GOVERNMENT RECORDS
26
Conflicts & Threats Tracked
41+
Ukraine Flip-Flops Documented
8
Countries Bombed or Invaded
2
Peace Prizes
1 Nobel Taken
1 FIFA Prize Manufactured
Live America First, Everywhere
10 Active Military Engagements · $29B Pentagon / $45B+ Analyst Est.
View Active Operations
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Key Findings

The Promise Paradox

Trump claims to have ended 8 wars. Fact-checkers confirm a tangible mediating role in perhaps 2-3. India's Modi explicitly denied US involvement. Thailand and Cambodia disputed his ceasefire claim in real time. Serbia-Kosovo wasn't a war. The Egypt-Ethiopia dispute is a water negotiation. The Rwanda-DRC agreement hasn't been implemented.

Escalation, Not Peace

In his first 16 months back in office, Trump has bombed Iran's nuclear facilities and oil infrastructure, killed a supreme leader, launched the largest military operation since Iraq across 17+ countries, lost 13 American soldiers (CENTCOM authoritative: 7 hostile + 6 non-hostile KC-135 crash) with Pentagon official wounded count frozen at 413 since the April cover-up (independent counts 520-538), destroyed $2B+ in U.S. equipment (plus an F-15E and A-10 shot down — first US aircraft lost to enemy fire in 20+ years), spent $29B by the Pentagon's own May 12 admission (independent analysts $42-54B+), invaded Venezuela, launched Operation Rough Rider in Yemen (800+ targets), and conducted record airstrikes in Somalia (44+ in 2026 alone) — while calling it a "limited action." On May 5 (Day 67), Secretary of State Rubio declared the combat phase of Operation Epic Fury "over," replaced by "Operation Project Freedom" — a Hormuz escort op Trump paused after one day on May 6. Iran's new Supreme Leader has still not been seen publicly 80+ days after the Day 1 strike. Israel invaded southern Lebanon, struck South Pars gas field, killed Larijani, Khatib, IRGC Navy chief, and Admiral Tangsiri. Lebanon death toll surpassed 3,000 May 18 (WaPo) — up from 2,055 on Apr 29, with 657 killed since the Apr 8 ceasefire; the May 15 45-day extension was immediately violated. Iran retaliated hitting Qatar's Ras Laffan ($20B/yr damage), Kuwait's Mina al-Ahmadi refinery, Kuwait International Airport, Mahshahr petrochemical zone, and a Kuwaiti supertanker in Dubai port. Bushehr nuclear plant auxiliary building struck. Strait still effectively closed — Iran charging $1M/ship tolls, only allowing Chinese/Russian/Indian/Pakistani vessels. Oil: Brent $111/bbl May 19, up 16% over the past month. Gas $4.515/gal nationally May 18 (+39.8%, AAA) — highest since the 2022 peak of $5.01, well above the Biden-era full-term average ($3.48) and the Obama-era average ($2.96). UAE confirmed its OPEC/OPEC+ exit during the first week of May. Houthis still threaten Bab al-Mandeb. Russia is feeding Iran intelligence on U.S. troop positions. China is arming Iran. Hegseth ousted Army Chief of Staff during active war. Al Jazeera: worst trade disruption in 80 years.

The "Greater North America" Doctrine

On March 5, Secretary Hegseth formally unveiled the "Greater North America" map — declaring everything from Greenland to the Gulf of America to the Panama Canal a U.S. security zone. 17 nations signed a Joint Security Declaration. This isn't rhetoric — it's backed by the largest Caribbean military presence since the Cuban Missile Crisis, a captured Venezuelan president, 44+ boat strikes, joint Ecuador operations, 3 new Panama bases, and Costa Rica negotiating permanent U.S. facilities. The "Donroe Doctrine" formalizes what Manifest Destiny implied: the hemisphere belongs to Washington.

Iran: Gutted Then Launched

Days before launching the largest military operation since Iraq, Kash Patel fired the FBI's elite Iran counterintelligence unit. 1,350+ State Dept employees had already been cut. USAID dismantled. Career Middle East diplomats purged. Then a 17-country war — without congressional authorization — with Iran's sleeper cells active, Russia feeding Iran satellite intelligence on our troop positions, China arming them, $2B+ in U.S. equipment destroyed, $29B+ admitted by the Pentagon ($42-54B+ by independent analysts), 13 Americans dead, 413+ wounded official (520-538 independent), oil above $110/barrel, the Strait of Hormuz still effectively shut down (Iran charging $1M/ship tolls), every ally refusing to help, Rubio declaring the combat phase "over" May 5 and Trump pausing the followup Hormuz op after one day, Kuwait's airport bombed, 82,000+ civilian structures damaged, and a depleted intelligence apparatus to track it all. Day 81 and counting.

Sources & Methodology

Primary Sources: Reuters, Associated Press, BBC, CNN, The New York Times, PBS, NPR, Al Jazeera, U.S. Government Records, Congressional Research Service, Center for Strategic and International Studies, Council on Foreign Relations, Carnegie Endowment, Airwars, Human Rights Watch, Amnesty International, CSIS Missile Threat Database, UN Office on Drugs and Crime, Congressional testimony.

Methodology: All timeline entries, quotes, and statistics are drawn from public record, published reporting, and government documents. Where claims diverge across sources, we note the discrepancy. Every conflict has been cross-referenced across at least three independent sources.

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AMERICA FIRST, EVERYWHERE

Active US military engagements under the Trump administration
10
Active Engagements
$29B / $45B+
Pentagon / Analyst Cost
13
American Lives Lost
4,400+
Foreign Deaths

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