Immigration

Border encounters, deportations, enforcement, and the asylum system — by the numbers

-63%
Border Encounters
(Month 1 → Month 3)
290K+
Deportations
(FY25-26)
66,000
Detention Population
Highest ever recorded
22%
Asylum Approval Rate
(Trump II)
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Border Encounters

Monthly apprehensions at the southern border tell a story of historic decline. FY2026 Q1 encounters totaled 91,603 — the lowest since FY2012. By February 2026, nationwide encounters dropped to 26,963, down 88% from the Biden-era average. DHS reported 10 consecutive months of zero illegal aliens released at the border.

Source: U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) monthly operational updates. Trump FY2026 encounters hit historic lows — 91,603 in Q1, 25% below the previous record low set in FY2012.

Deportations & Removals

The enforcement machinery accelerated. In the first year of Trump II, ICE conducted 2,253 deportation flights to 79 countries — a 46% increase in flights and 76% increase in destinations vs. Biden's final year. Obama sustained a high baseline. Biden prioritized cases with criminal records — the result: far fewer removals overall.

290,603
removals
14 months
392,000+
removals
First full year (FY2010)
59,000
removals
First full year (FY2021)
Source: ICE ERO reports, DHS enforcement statistics. Key context: 73.6% of those detained under Trump II had no criminal convictions. Street arrests increased 11x, 'at-large' arrests up 600%.

Interior Enforcement

Beyond the border, the enforcement of immigration law inside the country intensified. Trump's interior enforcement operations increased arrests, workplace raids, and community-level apprehensions. Detention capacity expanded to historic levels.

Source: ICE Enforcement and Removal Operations. Under Trump II, the detention population reached ~70,000 by early 2026 — the highest level ever recorded, nearly double the 37,000 held one year prior. DHS aims for 100,000-bed capacity.

The Asylum System

Asylum is the legal pathway for people fleeing persecution. But the system is overwhelmed, underfunded, and now nearly closed. Pending cases have exploded, while approval rates have collapsed.

Pending Asylum Cases

Asylum Approval Rates

Source: Executive Office for Immigration Review (EOIR), USCIS. Average asylum processing time in FY2024 was 1,283 days. Trump II asylum approval rate of 22% is the lowest of any modern administration.

The Price Tag

Immigration enforcement and resettlement aren't cheap. Federal spending reveals the scale of the system — and the choices behind it.

Office of Refugee Resettlement Grants (FY2020–2024)

The HHS Office of Refugee Resettlement awarded $22.6 billion in grants to nonprofits from FY2020 to FY2024 — providing cash assistance, Medicaid access, auto and home loans, and credit-building services. The largest jump came in FY2023, when ORR spending nearly tripled to over $10 billion.

$2.7B
FY2020
$2.4B
FY2021
$3.4B
FY2022
$10.0B
FY2023
$4.2B
FY2024

Top nonprofit recipients: International Rescue Committee ($598M since 2020) and Church World Services ($355M). Additionally, FEMA distributed $1.7 billion in migrant services grants through its Shelter and Services Program since FY2019 — funds originally designated for domestic disaster preparedness.

Source: OpenTheBooks.com analysis of USASpending.gov data; HHS Office of Refugee Resettlement; FEMA Shelter and Services Program (SSP) and Emergency Food and Shelter Program-Humanitarian (EFSP-H); Congressional Research Service Report R47681.

Key Findings

73% Had No Criminal Record

The administration promised to deport "criminals." The data tells a different story. Of those detained, 73.6% had no criminal convictions. Street arrests increased 11x. "At-large" arrests surged 600%. Detention hit ~70,000 — the highest level ever recorded. The enforcement machine expanded not toward dangerous offenders, but toward everyone.

Border Hit Record Low — Then Enforcement Surged

Border encounters plummeted to historic lows — FY2026 Q1 was 25% below the previous record, and February 2026 was 88% below the Biden average. DHS reported 10 straight months of zero releases. But instead of declaring victory, the administration expanded interior enforcement, increasing street arrests 11x and "at-large" operations 600%. Detention facilities hit ~70,000 — the highest in U.S. history. DHS reported 10 consecutive months of zero releases at the border. The border got quieter; the enforcement machine got louder.

Asylum System in Crisis

The asylum approval rate under Trump II fell to 22% — the lowest of any modern administration. Meanwhile, the pending case backlog hit 1.45 million, with average processing times exceeding 1,283 days. The system isn't processing faster; it's just denying more. For those fleeing persecution, the door to America is effectively closed.

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